Numéro |
J. Phys. IV France
Volume 139, December 2006
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Page(s) | 143 - 155 | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/jp4:2006139010 |
C. Boutron
J. Phys. IV France 139 (2006) 143-155
DOI: 10.1051/jp4:2006139010
Earth system analysis and the future of the biosphere
W. LuchtPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
e-mail: Wolfgang.Lucht@pik-potsdam.de
(Published online: 9 January 2007)
Abstract
The global biosphere has begun to change fundamentally as a
consequence of human actions. This change can be understood as a
consequence of a major transition in the evolution of life on Earth,
the emergence of human language, which opened up new pathways of
biological information transmission. The challenge facing the humans
species now is to not just suffer the consequences of this change,
but to develop a science of Earth system analysis that will allow
the collective, globally networked reflective capacity of humans to
chart paths into the future that are sustainable. Global observation
and computer modelling are important elements of this process. Such
models for the biosphere predict large-scale reorganisation of the
functional composition of the terrestrial biosphere under strong
anthropogenic climate change. Considering the advent of humans and
of global change on the background of the past evolution of life on
Earth, it is obvious that the co-evolution between geosphere and
biosphere that has characterised Earth history in the past has
expanded to include the anthroposphere as a third interacting
element.
© EDP Sciences 2006